CSAPR – Cross State Air Pollution Rule – Trading Strategies

CSAPR – Cross State Air Pollution Rule – Trading Strategies

CSAPR – Cross State Air Pollution Rule – Trading Strategies

There are some clear winners and losers in the recent Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR).  With the modified ruling of allowing the first two years of open trading among the groups, bring up some significant opportunity to maximize trade potentials for significant gains.   At AEP, I have spent numerous hours learning and evaluating emissions trading strategy given our largest emitter standings in almost every category.   I will tell you now CSAPR offers significant opportunity to make or lose significant sums of money.

Emissions trading require game theory analysis with some added inefficiencies in order to safely execute a successful trading strategy.   Working with the Center for Energy Economics and simulating the recent CSAPR and reviewing the ruling there are some real opportunities for those in short position to minimize their losses significantly.  As with most new trading rules/laws, they never account for potential maximization of individual actors.

If you are in a short position, please do call or email me I can help mitigate whether you are in Group 1 or Group 2.   Likewise, if you are long call or email me, please don’t go selling away as you will likely be leaving money on the table.   Since the beginning of emissions trading, there have always been significant losers and winners.   Emission market trading requires a fundamental approach to ultimately be successful.

David K. Bellman

614-356-0484

[email protected]

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