10 Year Weather Analysis Show 2010 Most Volatile Year

10 Year Weather Analysis Show 2010 Most Volatile Year

Weather has been one of the largest variable for power, coal, and gas markets.  In the latest study available to PMA subscribers, each of the last 10 years of weather was put into our load and power model to deliver a concise view of the impact of weather.

The study individually graphed the variation of weather for both summer and winter impact.   The most volatile year happened to be 2010.

2010 Winter

2010 Summer

In addition, each year was ranked according to the electric and gas demand.  The electric and gas demand do not necessarily align as different regions have various portfolio of generation options.

Total Year Ranking

Fuel burns and power prices are also presented in the study.

Gas Demand

Coal Demand

PJM On-Peak Prices

PMA subscribers get full access to the data files.  Both on and off peak prices are in the data file plus over 15 regions across the country.  Demand can also be broken up by state or even coal basin.  This analysis allows weather to be quantified for gas demand, coal demand, and power prices.  In addition any asset or portfolio can be extracted from the data to learn how sensitive these assets are to weather.

PMA subscribers get the online access, the daily files, and the study files.   In addition, prime members receive-at no additional cost reports such as presented above, the Summer 2014 Outlook report , the recent briefing on what is causing the gas demand drop, and where it is coming from.  Subscribers also have the opportunity for free private consultations.  Discussions can range from answering more detailed questions on the studies to discussing potential scenarios of the future.

Our latest update to our daily file is designed for power traders and risk teams.   The interface allows one to quickly see the current power forward curve along with the models view on the market.  There is also an additional line which adjust the models results based on historical tendencies in the model.

A demo of the daily file is available with restricted viewing.  Click here to download.

Please contact me to schedule an online demo meeting dkb@allenergyconsulting.com or 614-356-0484

Your Inspired Energy Consultant,

 

David


David K. Bellman
Founder & Principal
All Energy Consulting LLC
“Independent analysis and opinions without a bias.”
614-356-0484
dkb@allenergyconsulting.com
blog: http://allenergyconsulting.com/blog/category/market-insights/

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