Modeling

Others speak foreign languages, at AEC we speak  MS Excel, SQL, Visual Basic, Php, and Energy.  Our capabilities to build complex and data intensive interactive models are the best in the industry.   We have built crude oil evaluation models, refinery linear optimization models, discounted cash flow models requiring numerous inputs from various sources, and more…  It is not just the ability to design and program that gets the job done – it is in addition to already knowing your issues.  Building and operating great models require...

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Optimizing and Monetizing Electric Energy Use

Electric rates are rising across the country even though fuel cost should be bringing them down.  There is good to be seen in this situation.  With higher rates, it is time to examine how you are using your electricity.  In several markets, there are ways to actually make easy money from your electric usage.  Yes – you can make money and it is easy.   In addition, there are creative ways to minimize your cost by examining the various tariffs. There has been much touted on energy efficiency.  Many are saying “The best form...

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Emissions & EPA Analysis

New EPA regulations and standards continues.  Modeling and understanding the various impacts of EPA and local rules can be done.  We have modeled all the various regulations/policy over the past 10 years from Clean Air Act (CAA) to Waxman-Markey Carbon Bill.   At AEC we not only give you forecasts, but we show you how you can do it – empowering your workforce.   Completely understanding CSAPR can make and/or mitigate millions of dollars of cost for your company.  Let us help you reaffirm or offer greater insights into your...

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Energy Market Analysis

AEC expertise ranges from: Integrated (Oil – Gas – Coal) Supply/Demand Projections Modeling with Game Changing Technology/Regulation/Policy Integrated (Oil – Gas – Coal) Price Projections Historical Price Rationale Assessment of New Supply – Demand drivers and competitive suppliers Competitive Market Study – Evaluate supply choices and optimize price based on reliability and other risk factors Regulation / Policy Impact Study – Evaluate impacts to the market and/or particular...

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Risk Assessments

Where will natural gas and oil prices be in 5 to 30 years?   What will the US look like under various climate policies?  At AEC we are here to help manage those uncertainty to help you create a robust plan for the future.  Commodity and policy/regulations risk are intertwined.  AEC breadth experiences in all parts of the energy chain allows us to be optimally position in a world of uncertainty.   You need someone to put the pieces together so it makes sense.  Information without formulation is just data.  We help you convert...

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Competitive Market Assessments

Supply / Demand utlimately dictates markets not market prices resulting from inefficient signals.   At AEC we know your company vision should be predicated on long-term views not near-term market gyrations.  Our focus will always be on the fundamentals.   Evaluating competitive markets is no different.   Competition occurs with price arbritage and ingenuity.   We evaluate technology for economics and engineering feasibility.   We apply that knowledge into market dynamic simulations – balancing the supply and demand...

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Refinery Optimization Studies

Refineries are a complex chain of machinery.  Each piece in the facilitiy does its job for the greater good of the whole.   Within each part of the refinery there are levels of flexibility.   This flexibility opens the door for greater optimization.   Optimization should focus on the changing feedstock market to the changing landscape of product demand.   Over the past few years we have seen shifts to greater distillate yields as the US market pauses on its demand growth.   Many prognosticators should have seen the light many years...

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Merger Acquisition Analysis

Merger & Acquisitions should be based on the long-term vision of the market and your strategy to optimize that vision.  At AEC we can evaluate your merger or acquistion given the changing landscape of the commodity markets to policy/regulations changes.   An M&A deal has its own impact to the vision.   Many pundits lose sight of the potential market response to M&A .   Given our focus on the market fundamentals, we will be able to offer insights on potential market impacts on your deal.  We can help you with due dillegence...

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Due Diligence Analysis

Preparing and evaluating requires an investigative approach.  At AEC we ask the questions.  We try to understanding everthing.  Given our history of understanding the entire energy complex, we focus on putting things together so they make sense.   When you are looking at a potential venture or acquistion we can help you do the due dillegence.   There will be no rock unturned.  Market risk to competitive assesments can and will be done.   Let us help you in your due dilligence analysis.

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