{"id":1498,"date":"2015-01-16T09:09:33","date_gmt":"2015-01-16T15:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/?p=1498"},"modified":"2015-01-16T11:13:34","modified_gmt":"2015-01-16T17:13:34","slug":"summer-2015-best-trade-update-already","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/16\/summer-2015-best-trade-update-already\/","title":{"rendered":"Summer 2015 Best Trade Update &#8211; Already?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The purpose of this release is to demonstrate the volatility and requirement to stay on top of the power market.\u00a0\u00a0 PMA-NT is capable and designed to run daily.\u00a0\u00a0 Our <a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/15\/best-power-trade-summer-2015-100-gain-high-probability\/\">best trade for summer 2015 sprea<\/a>d just moved from $-2\/MWh to $1\/MWh.\u00a0\u00a0 The risk adjusted expectations of this curve was $2\/MWh.\u00a0\u00a0 There is still room for a 100% gain.\u00a0\u00a0 The certainty is diminished somewhat as there are some simulations showing less than $1\/MWh \u2013 however there were none at $-2\/MWh which made this trade spread a screaming buy.<\/p>\n<p>Not to fret the market has another opportunity.\u00a0 Based on last night\u2019s run there is a shoulder month who offers this same opportunity.\u00a0 The current spread stands at $-4\/MWh and the risk adjusted spread at north of $1\/MWh.\u00a0\u00a0 Historical analysis shows the spread to never be negative for the last 6 years.\u00a0\u00a0 The average spread on a historical basis is over $6\/MWh!<\/p>\n<p>Do you want the list of potential summer trades that never get stale due to market changes? \u00a0It is time you take a look at PMA-NT.\u00a0 We produce daily trade ideas with in-depth fundamental analysis.\u00a0 <strong>This is not a black box<\/strong>.\u00a0\u00a0 We are not running stochastic and creating a mathematical soup of results.\u00a0\u00a0 The realities of the world are examined in discrete runs.\u00a0 PMA-NT gives you control of weather, commodity prices, unit outages, etc\u2026.\u00a0 We can quantify uncertainty allowing you to make effective decisions and trades.<\/p>\n<p>Please call me if you are interested in receiving the list of our summer trade recommendations and the analysis that goes behind it.\u00a0\u00a0 We are so confident in our modeling we offer very flexible terms that <strong>we get paid only if you get paid <\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<h2>Fixed charge with a <strong>money back guarantee <\/strong>on a winning portfolio of recommendations (winning portfolio &gt; 0%).<\/h2>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<h2><strong>No money down<\/strong> a portion of earnings based on trade portfolio performance.<\/h2>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<h2>Subscription to PMA-NT gives you the complete summer analysis and all the daily runs each and every day.\u00a0\u00a0 Customization to create your own set of daily scenarios.<\/h2>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>You won\u2019t find a better package or deal when balancing the return expectations we can produce. \u00a0<em>Many of you want to do all this internally.<\/em> \u00a0I understand this and expect your team can. \u00a0 However, as I noted before<strong> it only gets better when we incorporate your knowledge<\/strong>.\u00a0 We are humble enough to understand we can\u2019t cover everything, but we will continue to pursue that.\u00a0 This is what makes this an evolutionary service\/ product.\u00a0\u00a0 There is no sitting on our butts once we sign you up \u2013 we will continue to grow with you. \u00a0You can have your very own unique PMA-NT experience. \u00a0Your teams concepts and thoughts can be translated into PMA-NT. \u00a0 Your internal simulations can also be incorporated in our trade screener giving even a more robust answer. \u00a0<strong>Finding the best power trades will only get better \u00a0and easier when you and your team work with us<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to show a successful power trading portfolio you need to reach out to us as soon as possible. We are here for your success \u2013 now and into the future.<\/p>\n<p>Your Enthused Energy Analyst,<\/p>\n<p>David<\/p>\n<p>David K. Bellman<br \/>\nFounder\/Principal<br \/>\nAll Energy Consulting LLC- &#8220;Adding insights to the energy markets for your success.\u201d<br \/>\n614-356-0484<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:dkb@allenergyconsulting.com\">dkb@allenergyconsulting.com<br \/>\n<\/a>@AECDKB<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/visitor.r20.constantcontact.com\/d.jsp?llr=pkxf8urab&amp;p=oi&amp;m=1118464826703&amp;sit=tvy6qqbjb&amp;f=907da189-9210-45f7-a5e4-1f0e0922178b\">Sign Up to AEC Free Energy Market Insights Newsletter<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The purpose of this release is to demonstrate the volatility and requirement to stay on top of the power market.\u00a0\u00a0 PMA-NT is capable and designed to run daily.\u00a0\u00a0 Our best trade for summer 2015 spread just moved from $-2\/MWh to $1\/MWh.\u00a0\u00a0 The risk adjusted expectations of this curve was $2\/MWh.\u00a0\u00a0 There is still room for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":216,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[324,369,268],"class_list":["post-1498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights","category-power","tag-pma-nt","tag-power","tag-power-trading"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1498"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1498\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1505,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1498\/revisions\/1505"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/216"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}