{"id":1488,"date":"2015-01-15T11:24:32","date_gmt":"2015-01-15T17:24:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/?p=1488"},"modified":"2015-01-15T12:56:16","modified_gmt":"2015-01-15T18:56:16","slug":"best-power-trade-summer-2015-100-gain-high-probability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2015\/01\/15\/best-power-trade-summer-2015-100-gain-high-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Power Trade Summer 2015 – 100% Gain High Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"

As noted in my recent article, demonstrating the great performance of PMA to be able to find winning power trades – 50 Percent Gain on Winter Trade! Another Successful Demonstration of PMA<\/a>, I prefer to trade one season out excluding the shoulders.\u00a0\u00a0 Unless something is a screaming buy or sell in the shoulders I typically avoid it given the limited load movements and unpredictable maintenance cycles.<\/p>\n

Given our success in winter I wanted to get a jump start for summer so we have run over 60+ simulations for this summer.\u00a0 Including our base runs and following the same analytical approach which incorporates a historical analysis and our screening tools, we have identified some significant market dislocations from the forward curve to the realities of the market place.<\/p>\n

Also noted in my previous article, I believe I have demonstrated and documented the efficacy of the modeling approach with 3 correct calls in a row (Summer<\/a>,\u00a0Winter 1<\/a>,\u00a0Winter 2<\/a>)\u00a0.\u00a0 Therefore, we will not likely give away trade ideas anymore.\u00a0\u00a0 The return of one of our spread trade we have identified is priced to earn over 100%.\u00a0 This is no joke.\u00a0 I have all the analysis behind this trade and look forward to working with paying clients to capitalize on this trade.\u00a0\u00a0 Power markets, given the collapse in trading and the complexity involved, do offer on occasions these types of trades.\u00a0\u00a0 This June spread will be able to give you positive returns in less than 4 months.<\/p>\n

Trading power if done right will bring positive results.\u00a0 The last two years the power trading markets failed as many traders failed to translate the low gas prices and what they meant to power prices.\u00a0\u00a0 PMA-NT is proven to understand these commodity changes and what they mean for power.\u00a0 In addition, my trading recommendations stay away from these absolute issues and I focus on spreads and heat rates thereby mitigating some of the commodity risk.<\/p>\n

PMA signals have recently changed from a sell mode for most of last year to now identifying some great buying opportunities.\u00a0\u00a0 For many end-users if you are looking to hedge power now is the time and we can show you why and where.\u00a0 For several power generators my advice to you is ride it out enjoy the spot markets your downside risk is limited.\u00a0 This is location specific so you do need to call or email me to get the right information for your situation.<\/p>\n

Please call me if you are interested in receiving the list of our summer trade recommendations and the analysis that goes behind it.\u00a0\u00a0 We are so confident in our modeling we offer very flexible terms that we get paid only if you get paid <\/strong>(I got that from an infomercial):<\/p>\n