{"id":1010,"date":"2014-03-07T07:59:08","date_gmt":"2014-03-07T13:59:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/?p=1010"},"modified":"2014-03-07T07:59:08","modified_gmt":"2014-03-07T13:59:08","slug":"april-natural-gas-demand-range","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/07\/april-natural-gas-demand-range\/","title":{"rendered":"April Natural Gas Demand Range"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>All Energy Consulting\u2019s (AEC) latest product offering,<em><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/2014\/02\/power-market-analysis-pma\/\" target=\"_blank\">Power Market Analysis (PMA)<\/a>\u00a0<\/em>is\u00a0a compelling product that provides subscribers a dynamic new approach to interpreting and explaining market fundamentals affecting North America\u2019s power markets and their impact on the coal and gas industry. \u00a0As requested, we have run our model in 2013 using \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/cts.vresp.com\/c\/?AllEnergyConsultingL\/08c4a9d5de\/TEST\/fbcc798c9c\" target=\"_blank\">AEC\u2019s proprietary<em>load forecasting model<\/em><\/a>.\u00a0The results are outstanding! \u00a0Once again substantiating the power modeling techniques used, plus adding more credibility to our load forecasting model.<\/p>\n<p>Gas Burn in the US-48 Power Sector:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/naturalgasconsumptioncompar.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1019\" title=\"naturalgasconsumptioncompar\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/naturalgasconsumptioncompar.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"305\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/naturalgasconsumptioncompar.jpg 480w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/naturalgasconsumptioncompar-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In 2013, the average gas burn was within 3%.<\/p>\n<p>Coal Burn in the US-48 Power Sector:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/coalconsumptioncompare.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1018\" title=\"coalconsumptioncompare\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/coalconsumptioncompare.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"301\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/coalconsumptioncompare.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/coalconsumptioncompare-300x187.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In 2013, the average coal burn was within 1.5%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete charts and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We also had time to take an early look into April gas consumption ranges running our monthly snapshot case. \u00a0 We\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/02\/ready-for-march-gas-demand-dukes-merchant-coal-plant-value\/\" target=\"_blank\">reproduced our gas price iteration case<\/a>\u00a0 and our sensitivity cases for the month of April.<\/p>\n<p>Henry Hub Price Iteration Runs:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivity.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1013\" title=\"AprilGasPriceSensitivity\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivity.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"278\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivity.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivity-300x173.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Natural Gas Demand at Various Sensitivities:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasSensitivity.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1016\" title=\"AprilGasSensitivity\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasSensitivity.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"277\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasSensitivity.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasSensitivity-300x172.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>April hydro condition is still a key variable to keep an eye on just as we pointed out in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/02\/ready-for-march-gas-demand-dukes-merchant-coal-plant-value\/\" target=\"_blank\">our March analysis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>We improved our reporting spreadsheet by including the coal consumption plots. \u00a0The improved output spreadsheet is available now for subscribers.<\/p>\n<p>Henry Hub Price Iteration Impact to Coal:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityCoa.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1014\" title=\"AprilGasPriceSensitivityCoa\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityCoa.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"278\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityCoa.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityCoa-300x173.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Coal Demand at Various Sensitivities:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilCoalSensitivity.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1012\" title=\"AprilCoalSensitivity\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilCoalSensitivity.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"277\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilCoalSensitivity.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilCoalSensitivity-300x172.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>We also added a power price charting capability to our spreadsheet allowing our subscribers to see how the various changes impacted power prices from across the country.<\/p>\n<p>Henry Hub Price Iteration Impact to PJM-West On-Peak:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityPJM.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1015\" title=\"AprilGasPriceSensitivityPJM\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityPJM.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityPJM.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilGasPriceSensitivityPJM-300x180.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>PJM-West On-Peak Power Prices at Various Sensitivities:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilPJMSensitivity.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1017\" title=\"AprilPJMSensitivity\" src=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilPJMSensitivity.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"282\" srcset=\"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilPJMSensitivity.jpg 481w, https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/AprilPJMSensitivity-300x175.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/Data\/\" target=\"_blank\">Complete chart and data available now for subscribers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The above analysis is all available to Prime Subscribers each month.<\/p>\n<p>We are continually adding and improving PMA. \u00a0One of our current projects is adding another insights category &#8211; Investors. \u00a0We are compiling the various portfolio&#8217;s of the largest generating companies and will display their performance from PMA. \u00a0In this section, we will answer the questions asked by investors, such as whose generating assets are at risk given various policies and commodity changes. \u00a0Besides identifying the risk, we will calculate the extent of that risk. \u00a0 This will be another category that can be subscribed to individually. \u00a0We will likely include it at no additional cost to those subscribing to the prime package.<\/p>\n<p>Hopefully, it has been demonstrated that PMA can bring you great insights into the power markets at an incredible value. The above analysis can easily pay back your investment \u00a0by helping you make better decisions whether trading, planning, purchasing assets, or<em>\u00a0being an investor in a utility.<\/em>\u00a0\u00a0PMA will offer a better understanding of the power market from power prices to coal and gas consumption.<\/p>\n<p>Your Inspired Energy Consultant,<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>David<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>David K. Bellman<br \/>\nFounder &amp; Principal<br \/>\nAll Energy Consulting LLC<br \/>\n&#8220;Independent analysis and opinions without a bias.&#8221;<br \/>\n614-356-0484<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:dkb@allenergyconsulting.com\" target=\"_blank\">dkb@allenergyconsulting.com<\/a><br \/>\nblog:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/cts.vresp.com\/c\/?AllEnergyConsultingL\/2bf203f496\/44d67ad3f7\/36de6f162b\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/category\/market-insights\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>P.S. Send an email to get a free one week trial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All Energy Consulting\u2019s (AEC) latest product offering,Power Market Analysis (PMA)\u00a0is\u00a0a compelling product that provides subscribers a dynamic new approach to interpreting and explaining market fundamentals affecting North America\u2019s power markets and their impact on the coal and gas industry. \u00a0As requested, we have run our model in 2013 using \u00a0AEC\u2019s proprietaryload forecasting model.\u00a0The results are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,3,6],"tags":[32,255,258,252,369],"class_list":["post-1010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights","category-natural-gas","category-power","tag-coal","tag-gas-demand","tag-pjm","tag-pma","tag-power"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1010"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1021,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010\/revisions\/1021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allenergyconsulting.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}